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You're never going to be able to put your opponent on an exact hand, so calculating outs will never be exact. Your calculations will ultimately only be as accurate as the hand range you put your opponent on.
No longer do your three remaining aces and kings give you the winning hand. You have four sevens and four queens that will give you a straight.
Meaning you have eight outs. Yes and no. Sometimes you are going to hit your straight, but that card will also make your opponent a flush, improving you to a second-best hand.
Thus you should only count them as half outs each. Meaning in reality you only have seven outs. If you're drawing to a flush, you have two suited cards in your hand and two on the board, that means 9 cards of that suit left in the deck.
With pot odds, think of the number of cards again. That means 47 unseen cards including your opponents' hole cards. Nine cards can save you but 38 cards don't complete your draw.
This ratio changes again when you consider implied odds. So, say your opponent has a hand lesser than a flush, like two pair.
Pot odds refers to the relationship between the size of the pot and the size of the bet. Then you are getting pot odds of The more players involved in a pot, the less your chances of winning it.
That's why it may make sense to shove pre-flop with certain hands instead of just calling, hoping to narrow the field to just one, or perhaps zero!
Dan Jones. Awaiting your reply, Me. Your ability to memorize or calculate your hand odds as well as calculate pot odds will lead you to make many of the right decisions in the future - just be sure to remember that fundamental principle of profitably playing drawing hands requires that your pot odds are greater than your hand odds.
An important note I have to make is that many players who understand Hold'em odds tend to forget is that much of the theoretical odds calculations from the flop to the river assume there is no betting on the turn.
So while it's true that for a flush draw, the odds are 1. Unfortunately, most of the time, this will not be the case, so you should not calculate pot odds from the flop to the river and instead calculate them one card at a time.
To calculate your odds one card at a time, simply use the same odds that you have going from the turn to the river.
So for example, your odds of hitting a flush from the turn to river is 4 to 1, which means your odds of hitting a flush from the flop to the turn is 4 to 1 as well.
To help illustrate even further, we will use the flush calculation example that shows an often-used but incorrect way of thinking.
As you can see from these example calculations, calling a flush draw with 2 to 1 pot odds on the flop can lead to a long term loss, if there is additional betting past the flop.
Most of the time, however, there is a concept called Implied Value which we'll get to next that is able to help flush draws and open-ended straight draws still remain profitable even with seemingly 'bad' odds.
The draws that you want to worry about the most are your long shot draws: overcards, gut shots and two-outers hoping to make a set with your pocket pair.
If you draw these hands using incorrect odds such as flop to river odds , you will be severely punished in the long run. Implied Value is a pretty cool concept that takes into account future betting.
Like the above section, where you have to worry about your opponent betting on the turn, implied value is most often used to anticipate your opponent calling on the river.
So for example, let's say that you have yet another flush draw and are being offered a 3 to 1 pot odds on the turn. Knowing that you need 4 to 1 pot odds to make this a profitable call, you decide to fold.
Aha, but wait! Here is where implied value comes into play. So, even though you're getting 3 to 1 pot odds on the turn, you can likely anticipate your opponent calling you on the river if you do hit your flush draw.
This means that even though you're only getting 3 to 1 pot odds, since you anticipate your opponent calling a bet on the river, you are anticipating 4 to 1 pot odds - so you are able to make this call on the turn.
So in the most practical standpoint, implied value usually means that you can subtract one bet from your drawing odds on the turn, as it anticipates your opponents calling at least one bet.
In some more advanced areas, you can use implied odds as a means of making some draws that might not be profitable a majority of the time, but stand to make big payouts when they do hit.
If you continually play draws without getting the right odds, you will lose money in the long run. These players will occasionally get lucky and win a pot, but mostly they will lose and pay for it.
On the other hand, you might be folding draws in situations where the odds are favorable. We have placed cookies on your computer to improve your experience on our website.
Helpful 0 Not Helpful 0. If you don't get your card on the turn, you may be faced with repeating the process in the next round of betting. Remember that post-turn bets are usually larger than pre-turn bets.
Submit a Tip All tip submissions are carefully reviewed before being published. The video is only useful for the description of 'Pot odds'; following any of it's other advice, trying to win with a 6 high flush, for example, will have you playing with play chips' in no time.
Helpful 7 Not Helpful 4. Related wikiHows. Co-authors: Updated: October 15, Categories: Poker. Thanks to all authors for creating a page that has been read , times.
Did this article help you? Take a moment to study these examples:. Counting outs is a fairly straightforward process. You simply count the number of unknown cards that will improve your hand, right?
Wait… there are one or two things you need to consider:. There are 15 outs when you have both a straight and flush draw.
The reason is simple… in our example from table 2 the and the will make a flush and also complete a straight. These outs cannot be counted twice, so our total outs for this type of draw is 15 and not For example, suppose you hold on a flop of.
However, the flop also contains two hearts, so if you hit the or the you will have a straight, but could be losing to a flush. This could be at any stage of the game.
Pot odds refers to the price of calling a bet relative to the size of the pot. It can be tricky to work out pot odds exactly, but estimating is usually fine.
To calculate Pot odds, you'll first need to know your outs. Outs are the cards that can improve your hand. There are many ways to calculate Pot Odds but here's a simple one.
Rather than using a formula, poker players around the globe use the Rule of 2 and 4. The rule says that if you have two cards to come, you can multiply the number of outs you have by four and you'll come to an approximate percentage of making your hand.
If you have only one card to come, you can multiply your outs by two to reach an estimated percentage.
Good odds simply means that the odds you have to call are better than the odds of making your hand. If you have two suited cards, you will flop a flush roughly one time in You'll flop a flush draw around one in ten times, though.
Some common poker hand odds are open-ended straight draws at 4. For example, the most powerful starting Hold'em hand is pocket aces.
On top of that, the more players in the pot, the higher the chances that they hold some of your outs. If you do not distinguish between suits which are not ranked in most poker games , then there are different starting hands in Texas Hold'em.
The best is A-A and the worst is either or unsuited. If you do differentiate between suits, there are 1, possible combinations of two cards. For example, if you have Ah-Qh against Jc-Jd on a flop of 8h-5h-2c, you can win with any heart, queen or ace for a total of fifteen outs.
An out card is simply a card that will help you win. To calculate, take a look at this example. If you're planning on winning with a flush and you have four spades, then there will be nine spades left in the deck.
So you can win with any of these nine spades. Pocket aces are a solid hand that give you a good chance to win every hand that you enter into. If you would like more information on the math involved in figuring out probability when it comes to poker, check out this article on poker math.
For more on poker odds and implied odds in general, see "Theory of Poker" by David Sklansky. For a good discussion on how to figure out your poker odds in No-Limit Texas Hold'em situations, have a look at "Harrington on Hold 'em", volumes I and II, by Dan Harrington and Bill Robertie.
For more discussion on counting your outs and specifically how to discount them, see "Small Stakes Hold 'em" by Ed Miller, David Sklansky and Mason Malmuth.
The Fundamental Concepts of Poker article series starts with Expected Value.A much easier way of calculating poker odds is the 4 and 2 method, which states you multiply your outs by 4 when you have both the turn and river to come – and with one card to go (i.e. turn to river) you would multiply your outs by 2 instead of 4. Pot odds are the ratio between the size of the pot and the size of the bet. For example, if the starting pot is $10 and a player bets $5—half the pot—then the pot size is now $15 and a player is facing a $5 bet. The pot odds are and ideally you want to reduce the right side of the ratio to one. How to Calculate Pot and Hand Odds in Limit Hold 'Em Poker Method 1 of 3: Pot Odds. Determine the total amount of money in the pot. If you are playing pot limit or no limit poker, Method 2 of 3: Hand Odds. Divide the number of cards unseen by the number of "outs" that you have. There must be. Examples of drawing hands after the flop. Backdoor: A straight or flush draw where you need two cards to help your hand out. You have [A K]. Flop shows [T 2 5]. You need both a [J] and [Q] for Overcard Draw: When you have a card above the flop. You have [A 3]. Flop shows [K 5 2]. You need a [A]. Common Poker Out Scenarios Step 1: Work Out How Much You'd Normally Win From Your Actual Poker Odds: Odds you actually have of winning the Step 2: Calculate How Much Money You Could Win and The Odds You're Getting: $90 Money in the pot + You must match this Step 3: Decide Whether to Call. Calculating Odds. Probabilities can be displayed as a ratio or odds, which is very helpful when playing poker. Odds describe the ratio between the probability of winning and losing. The winning probability is calculated as before. The losing probability is therefore: [Losing probability] = % – [winning probability]. Notice that your pot odds are almost the same, roughly to 1. The first player bets $2, making the pot $12, and the other two players fold. The bet you must now call is $2 into a $12 dollar pot. This . Calculating Your Poker Odds. Once you know how many outs you’ve got (remember to only include “good outs”), it’s time to calculate your odds. There are many ways to figure the actual odds of hitting these outs, and we’ll explain three methods. This first one does not require math, just use the handy chart below: Table #3 – Poker.